A new decision sciences for complex systems

By Robert J. Lempert. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2002

355 citations recorded by the source corpus.

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Implications of incorporating air-quality co-benefits into climate change policymaking (2010, neutral): “A IPCC IMAGEa 2100 Yes No No — — B IPCC MERGEa 2150 Yes No No — — C IPCC MESSAGEa 2100 Yes No No — — D IPCC MiniCAMa 2100 Yes No No — — E IPCC SGMa 2050 Yes No No — — F IPCC WIAGEMa 2100 Yes No No — — G Nordhaus (2008) DICE-2007b 2200 Yes Yes No — — H UK C.”
Evolutionary algorithms and other metaheuristics in water resources: Current status, research challenges and future directions (2014, background): “Finally, it should be noted that under conditions of deep/ severe uncertainty (Lempert, 2002) that exist in real-life WRM problems, for some sources of uncertainty (e.g. future changes in regulative frameworks), pre-characterisation may lead to suboptimal solutions should future outcomes turn out…”
What are robust strategies in the face of uncertain climate threshold responses? (2012, background): “The fact that current estimates of the impacts of climate change and the costs of climate mitigation are deeply uncertain imposes non-trivial methodological challenges (cf. Keller et al. 2008a; Lempert 2002).”
The economics (or lack thereof) of aerosol geoengineering (2009, background): “Deep uncertainty refers to the situation when the estimates depend strongly on subjective and divergent prior assumptions (Keller et al. 2008b; Lempert et al. 2002; Lempert 2002).”