Analyzing Uncertainty in Neural Machine Translation

By Myle Ott, Michael Auli, David Grangier, Marc'Aurelio Ranzato. 2018

293 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Machine translation is a popular test bed for research in neural sequence-to-sequence models but despite much recent research, there is still a lack of understanding of these models. Practitioners report performance degradation with large beams, the under-estimation of rare words and a lack of diversity in the final translations. Our study relates some of these issues to the inherent uncertainty of the task, due to the existence of multiple valid translations for a single source sentence, and to the extrinsic uncertainty caused by noisy training data. We propose tools and metrics to assess how uncertainty in the data is captured by the model distribution and how it affects search strategies that generate translations. Our results show that search works remarkably well but that models tend to spread too much probability mass over the hypothesis space. Next, we propose tools to assess model calibration and show how to easily fix some shortcomings of current models. As part of this study, we release multiple human reference translations for two popular benchmarks.

Subfields: Artificial Intelligence, Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, Natural Language Processing, Evaluation & Benchmarks

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Artificial Intelligence

  1. Graham Neubig
  2. Luke S. Zettlemoyer
  3. Mohit Bansal
  4. Jianfeng Gao
  5. Kyunghyun Cho
  6. Percy Liang
  7. Noah A. Smith
  8. Quoc V. Le

In Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition

  1. Luc Van Gool
  2. Dacheng Tao
  3. Xiaogang Wang
  4. Trevor Darrell
  5. Ming-Hsuan Yang
  6. Jitendra Malik
  7. Andrew Zisserman
  8. Andrea Vedaldi

In Natural Language Processing

  1. Graham Neubig
  2. Luke S. Zettlemoyer
  3. Kyunghyun Cho
  4. Mohit Bansal
  5. Jianfeng Gao
  6. Michael Auli
  7. Jiatao Gu
  8. Felix Stahlberg

In Evaluation & Benchmarks

  1. Graham Neubig
  2. Philipp Koehn
  3. Vishrav Chaudhary
  4. Francisco (Paco) Guzmán
  5. Rico Sennrich
  6. Matt Post
  7. Jiatao Gu
  8. Michael Auli

Citations in the corpus