Exploration of regional and global cost–supply curves of biomass energy from short-rotation crops at abandoned cropland and rest land under four IPCC SRES land-use scenarios

By Monique Hoogwijka, A. Faaija, Bert de Vriesb, Wim Turkenburga. 2009

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Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects (2018, background): “High estimates are derived from scenarios of largescale deployment on abandoned agricultural land, where yield factor increases are far higher than on marginal lands (Smeets et al 2007, Hoogwijk et al 2009).”
A reassessment of global bioenergy potential in 2050 (2015, methodology): “Some studies (Hoogwijk et al., 2005, 2009; Smeets et al., 2007) predict that yields of these crops will increase substantially by 2050, much as yields of cereals like maize have increased over the past 50 years.”
Bioenergy from “surplus” land: environmental and socio-economic implications (2012, background): “Even considering the same production costs per hectare on degraded compared to non degraded land, the cost per ton of crop harvested could be up to 100 % higher if the yield level is decreased by 50 % (Hoogwijk et al. 2009).”