Decisions From Experience and Statistical Probabilities: Why They Trigger Different Choices Than a Priori Probabilities

By R. Hau, Timothy J. Pleskac, Ralph Hertwig. 2010

147 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: General Decision Sciences, History and Philosophy of Science, Management Science and Operations Research

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/9db18d1bcddffde66c0a447430345b1286e7db38

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In General Decision Sciences

1. Laurence T. Maloney
2. Hang Zhang
3. Daniel G. Goldstein
4. Gerd Gigerenzer
5. Robin M. Hogarth
6. Matthew T. Hora

In History and Philosophy of Science

1. Daniel G. Goldstein
2. Gerd Gigerenzer
3. Robin M. Hogarth
4. Matthew T. Hora

In Management Science and Operations Research

1. David M. Rothschild
2. Laurence T. Maloney
3. Hang Zhang
4. Daniel G. Goldstein
5. Gerd Gigerenzer
6. Robin M. Hogarth
7. Matthew T. Hora

Citations in the corpus

• Ubiquitous Log Odds: A Common Representation of Probability and Frequency Distortion in Perception, Action, and Cognition (2012, background): “We discuss the results in the light of recent findings in decision under risk, especially those in the name of “decision from experience” (Hertwig et al., 2004; Hau et al., 2010).”
• Lay understanding of probability distributions (2014, background): “Note that the “decisions from experience” literature (e.g., Hertwig et al, 2004; Hau, Pleskac, & Hertwig, 2010), finds that people may under-weight experienced probabilities relative to stated probabilities.”