The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning
By Ron Bradfield, George Wright, George Burt, George Cairns, K. V. D. Heijden. 2005
1,152 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Subfields: Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law, Management Science and Operations Research
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/962a7938416e3b0820469ab03add8bb7c990581c
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
- P. Peeters
- G. Dubois
- J. Ceron
- Howard Kunreuther
- Hermann Held
- Thomas Bauwens
- S. Gössling
- Marko P. Hekkert
In Management Science and Operations Research
- Thomas Bauwens
- S. Gössling
- Carla Melo
- Celeste Amorim Varum
- Marko P. Hekkert
- B. van Arem
- Valentina Bosetti
- Howard Kunreuther
Citations in the corpus
- The future tourism mobility of the world population: Emission growth versus climate policy (2011, background): “In future studies two cultures have emerged (Bradfield et al., 2005): a dominant quantitative culture, and a more qualitative culture (De Jouvenel, 1964; Godet, 1997; Hatem, 1993; Mermet, 2003, 2005).”
- Integrated Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change Response Policies (2014, background): “10 Such scenario representation has been shown to facilitate strategic planning by professional groups 11 such as military commanders, oil company managers, and policy makers (Bradfield et al., 2005; 12 Schoemaker, 1995).”
- Development and transport implications of automated vehicles in the Netherlands: scenarios for 2030 and 2050 (2017, methodology): “We apply the long-established intuitive logics scenario development method (see Bradfield et al., 2005, Amer et al., 2013, Wright et al., 2013) to identify plausible future development paths of automated vehicles in the Netherlands and to estimate potential implications for traffic, travel…”
- Evolving practices in environmental scenarios: a new scenario typology (2008, background): “Scenario approaches have continued to evolve: during the 1970s they were widely adopted, and their use now seems to be increasing again (Bradfield et al 2005).”
- Directions in scenario planning literature – A review of the past decades (2010, background): “Although scenario planning has a long history, its application in the business context is a relatively recent phenomenon [7], and our results confirm this.”
- Circular futures: What Will They Look Like? (2020, methodology): “Scenario planning was conducted via the 2 × 2 scenario matrix method, which is reportedly one of the most established methods in scenario planning (van Asselt et al., 2012; Bradfield et al., 2005; Curry and Schultz, 2009).”