Atmospheric Predictability: Why Butterflies Are Not of Practical Importance

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The forecast skill horizon (2015, methodology): “It may be a worthwhile exercise to attempt this with the refined error saturation model of Durran and Gingrich (2014) and using the mixed K−3 and K−5/3 kinetic energy spectrum observed in the atmosphere.”
Exchange Processes in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer Over Mountainous Terrain (2018, background): “However, the lack of mesoscale detail in the initial conditions of the forecasts, the fast growth of forecast errors at small spatial scales [229,230], and the rapid downscale propagation of small initial errors at the large scales [231] imply that high-resolution predictions are not necessarily mor”