Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity

By J. Blois, John W. Williams, M. Fitzpatrick, S. T. Jackson, Simon Ferrier. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2013

735 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Atmospheric Science, Ecological Modeling, Nature and Landscape Conservation

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/7858f8b7588a8b0f40bffab4bc3858cf98c2fba9

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Citations in the corpus

Modeling Species and Community Responses to Past, Present, and Future Episodes of Climatic and Ecological Change (2015, methodology): “…no-analog climates (Williams & Jackson 2007, Williams et al. 2007) and the general challenge of understanding how individualistic species responses to climate change will lead to shifting biotic interactions (Blois et al. 2013c), with uncertain implications for community composition and function.”
Is the insect apocalypse upon us? How to find out (2020, methodology): “This survey strategy is commonly used in ecology when time-series data are lacking (Blois et al., 2013) and can prove particularly powerful when tested against experimental data and, for the subset of sites for which they are available, time-series data (Lahr et al.”
Revisiting the past to foretell the future: summer temperature and habitat area predict pika extirpations in California (2015, background): “To make accurate predictions, it is necessary to show that species distribution models (SDMs) are transferable both temporally and geographically (Tuanmu et al., 2011; Blois et al., 2013).”
The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts (2014, background): “…potentially important variables (e.g., Blois et al. 2013; Pfeifer et al. 2014), when analyses focus on community-level summaries rather than individual species (e.g., Algar et al. 2009), and when the spatial and temporal variations being considered are similar in magnitude (Blois et al. 2013).”
Ecological effects of extreme drought on Californian herbaceous plant communities (2016, result): “…with a number of 308 Ecological Monographs Vol. 86, No. 3 STELLA M. COPELAND ET AL. previous studies that have comparatively examined spacefor- time substitutions (Adler and Levine 2007, Sandel et al. 2010), although inconsistent with other such studies (Blois et al. 2013, Elmendorf et al. 2015).”
Ants as indicators of environmental change and ecosystem processes (2017, methodology): “…we compared the suitability of incidence, species richness, nd functional richness of epigaeic ants as indicators of responses to nvironmental changes and of ecosystem processes, using a simple pace-for-time approach (Blois et al., 2013; Pickett, 1989), nutrint baits, and artificial caterpillars.”
Unexpected phenological responses of butterflies to the interaction of urbanization and geographic temperature (2014, background): “Here we test whether such conditions could be generated from the interaction between geographic temperature (a proxy for global climate change; Blois et al. 2013) and urbanization.”