Revisiting the past to foretell the future: summer temperature and habitat area predict pika extirpations in California

By J. Stewart, J. Perrine, Lyle B. Nichols, James H. Thorne, C. Millar, Kenneth E. Goehring, Cody P. Massing, D. Wright. 2015

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The American pika (Ochotona princeps) appears to have experienced climate‐mediated upslope range contraction in the Great Basin of North America, but this result has not yet been extended to other portions of the pika's range. Our goals were: first, to determine the environmental parameters that most influence current pika distribution within California; second, to infer whether these constraints explain extirpations that have occurred in California; third, to predict future extirpations; and fourth, to advance methods for assessing the degree to which pikas and other climate‐sensitive mammals are threatened by climate change.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Ecology, Nature and Landscape Conservation

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/ccef5dbcc93fc42d53b508b968f3ad51847dbfdb

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