Do Giant Oilfield Discoveries Fuel Internal Armed Conflicts
By Yu Lei, Guy Michaels. 2011
204 citations recorded by the source corpus.
We use new data to examine the effects of giant oilfield discoveries around the world since 1946. On average, these discoveries increase per capita oil production and oil exports by up to 50 percent. But these giant oilfield discoveries also have a dark side: they increase the incidence of internal armed conflict by about 5-8 percentage points. This increased incidence of conflict due to giant oilfield discoveries is especially high for countries that had already experienced armed conflicts or coups in the decade prior to discovery.
Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Transportation
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/7743e8a2554741a424d5b61935b0658578f38dfe
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Economics and Econometrics
- F. van der ploeg
- S. Poelhekke
- E. Nillesen
- Nicolas Berman
- Erwin H. Bulte
- Mathias Thoenig
- D. Rohner
- M. Couttenier
In Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
In Transportation
Citations in the corpus
- This Mine is Mine! How Minerals Fuel Conflicts in Africa (2015, background): “While Lei and Michaels ( 2014 ) find a positive effect of oil discoveries on conflict, Cotet and Tsui ( 2013 ) find that oil discoveries no longer show an effect on conflict when controlling for country fixed effects.”
- The Impact of Natural Resources: Survey of Recent Quantitative Evidence (2017, background): “Like Arezki et al. (2015), Lei and Michaels (2014) is an excellent example of this.”
- Natural Resources and Violent Conflict (2014, background): “Oil exports seem more robustly associated with conflict onset than are exports of other commodities (see also Lei & Michaels 2011).”