Projection of Populations by Level of Educational Attainment, Age and Sex for 120 Countries for 2005-2050
By S. K.C., B. Barakat, Anne Goujon, V. Skirbekk, Warren C. Sanderson, Wolfgang Lutz. 2010
289 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels of educational attainment for the years 2005-2050. Taking into account differentials in fertility and mortality by education level, we present the first systematic global educational attainment projections according to four widely differing education scenarios. The results show the possible range of future educational attainment trends around the world, thereby contributing to long-term economic and social planning at the national and international levels, and to the assessment of the feasibility of international education goals.
Subfields: Demography, General Health Professions, Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/626682febf5178886933e821142074612776e453
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Citations in the corpus
- Africa’s demographic transition : dividend or disaster? (2015, unknown): “In addition, expanding manufacturing increases the network of suppliers, which can encourage new investors to set up in Africa, generating the possibility of a rapid economic takeoff (Samir et al. 2010).”
- The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100 (2017, methodology): “…Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)— where these methods were originally developed during the 1970s—has recently applied them to produce reconstructions and projections of populations by age, sex and level of educational attainment for most countries in the world (KC et al., 2010; Lutz et al., 2007).”
- Income projections for climate change research: A framework based on human capital dynamics (2017, methodology): “The IIASA/VID dataset (see Lutz et al. (2007), Lutz et al. (2008) or KC et al. (2010)) provides (partly reconstructed) historical data on age-structured educational attainment for most countries in the world and is used as a source for the human capital variables of the model.”
- Research, part of a Special Feature on Education and Differential Vulnerability to Natural Disasters Effects of Educational Attainment on Climate Risk Vulnerability (2013, background): “Once the key role of education in reducing vulnerability to natural disasters is firmly established, new projections of populations by age and level of education (KC et al. 2010) can also be used to anticipate”
- Effect of Fertility Policy Changes on the Population Structure and Economy of China: From the Perspective of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (2019, background): “Population scenarios under the different SSPs are translated into projections by age, sex, and educational attainment until 2100 for approximately 195 countries (KC et al., 2010, 2013; KC & Lutz, 2014; Lutz et al., 2007).”