Forecasting Regional to Global Plant Migration in Response to Climate Change

By R. Neilson, L. Pitelka, A. Solomon, Ran Nathan, Guy F. Midgley, J. Fragoso, Heike Lischke, K. Thompson. 2005

371 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Global and Planetary Change, Nature and Landscape Conservation

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/61f15fea6f8201c6d1af080d7515a75c97a799e8

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In Ecological Modeling

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Citations in the corpus

Identifying priority areas for reducing species vulnerability to climate change (2012, background): “Whilst a number of species and ecosystems have demonstrated some capacity to adapt to climate change (Parmesan & Yohe, 2003; Neilson et al., 2005), many are suffering negative consequences (Kozlov, 2008; Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, 2009).”
Effects of canopy heterogeneity, seed abscission and inertia on wind‐driven dispersal kernels of tree seeds (2008, background): “L models are computer-intensive and cannot be applied for long-term large-scale problems for which LDD plays a major role (Neilson et al. 2005; Trakhtenbrot et al. 2005).”
Climate change, plant migration, and range collapse in a global biodiversity hotspot: the Banksia (Proteaceae) of Western Australia (2008, background): “Migration of plant species is a function of population growth, dispersal, establishment, and landscape structure, including the availability of suitable habitat (Neilson et al., 2005; Midgley et al., 2007; Thuiller et al., 2008).”
Mechanisms of plant survival and mortality during drought: why do some plants survive while others succumb to drought? (2008, background): “The potential for long-term changes to regional vegetation composition is significant, supporting the need for biogeochemistry and climate models to continue refinement of dynamic vegetation simulations (Neilson et al., 2005; Bonan & Levis, 2006; Scholze et al., 2006).”
Projecting climate change impacts on species distributions in megadiverse South African Cape and Southwest Australian Floristic Regions: Opportunities and challenges (2009, background): “For many species past and continuing habitat destruction and fragmentation has created or will create significant barriers to dispersal (Midgley et al. 2005; Neilson et al. 2005; Bacles et al. 2006; Lewis 2006).”
Invasion of Norway spruce (Picea abies) and the rise of the boreal ecosystem in Fennoscandia (2009, background): “abies can be relevant for predictions of future ecosystem processes (Neilson et al. 2005).”
Stand characteristics and downed woody debris accumulations associated with a mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins) outbreak in Colorado (2009, positive): “The distribution, range, and abundance of different conifer species will depend on their response to increasing temperatures (Nielson et al., 2005).”
Empirical Analyses of Plant‐Climate Relationships for the Western United States (2006, background): “Our results join with many others (Melillo et al. 1995; Bachelet et al. 2001; Hansen et al. 2001; Shafer et al. 2001; Thompson et al. 2002; Neilson et al. 2005) to predict a widespread disruption of native ecosystems from global warming.”
Global Pyrogeography: the Current and Future Distribution of Wildfire (2009, background): “This scenario is obviously unrealistic over the longer term because of the strong links between climate and vegetation, but for near-future projections such as 2010–2039, it may be reasonable to presume a relatively constant NPP, given that climate induced changes in fire are expected to occur more ”