Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020
By Julien Riou, Christian L. Althaus. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2020
676 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R0 of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.
Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Infectious Diseases, Modeling and Simulation
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/5bfa84d4824429d5e8529ff9cd7f2a9055450393
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Citations in the corpus
- Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study (2020, neutral): “17 If transmission were more homogenous than SARS-CoV or MERS-CoV, it would increase the risk of outbreaks following introduced cases.”
- Clinical and CT features in pediatric patients with COVID‐19 infection: Different points from adults (2020, neutral): “Respiratory droplets are the main route of transmission, but can also be transmitted by contact and digestive tract.(6) The incubation period is about 1 to 14 days, and is supposed could be up to 24 days.”
- Preparing for a COVID-19 pandemic: a review of operating room outbreak response measures in a large tertiary hospital in Singapore (2020, background): “Early data suggests that transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 is moderate, with a basic reproduction number of approximately 2.(23,24)”
- COVID-19: Transmission, prevention, and potential therapeutic opportunities (2020, neutral): “In addition, almost all countries in continents throughout the world reported disease spread caused by aerosol penetration into the upper the respiratory tract and lungs via inhalation [4,5].”
- The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study (2020, neutral): “Using these matrices and the latest estimates of the epidemiological parameters of the Wuhan outbreak, 1,9,14–16 we simulated the ongoing trajectory of an outbreak in Wuhan using an age-structured susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) model 17,18 for several physical distancing measures.”
- Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020 (2020, neutral): “While the early transmission potential of this novel coronavirus appeared similar to that of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) (Riou & Althaus, 2020), the current tally of the epidemic has already surpassed the total cases reported for the SARS outbreaks in 2002 e 2003 (W. World Health Organi”
- COVID-19 infection: Origin, transmission, and characteristics of human coronaviruses (2020, neutral): “cough and shortness of breath Cough, fever and shortness of breath [12,23,85]”