A decadal prediction case study: Late twentieth-century North Atlantic Ocean heat content

By S. Yeager, Alicia Karspeck, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Joseph J. Tribbia, H. Teng. 2012

253 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Atmospheric Science, Global and Planetary Change, Oceanography

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/55262086fbb90c8e8f110b8e47ebd357c5f5d8ac

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Citations in the corpus

Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches (2014, methodology): “Yeager et al. (2012) and Robson et al. (2012a,b) conclude that the warming was primarily caused by the enhanced meridional heat transport associated with a strengthened AMOC, which was itself a response to the persistent positive phase of the NAO that occurred in the 1980s and early 1990s.”
A Review of the Role of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and Associated Climate Impacts (2019, background): “…AMV signal at decadal lead times (e.g., Hermanson et al., 2014; Matei et al., 2012; Msadek et al., 2014; Robson, Sutton, & Smith, 2012, 2014; Yang et al., 2013; Yeager et al., 2012, 2015, 2018; Yeager & Robson, 2017) contrasts sharply with low predictability expected from the red noise hypothesis.”
A multi-model comparison of Atlantic multidecadal variability (2014, unknown): “However, these studies are not able to fully explain observed variations in ocean heat content (Zhang et al. 2013), which were probably driven largely by ocean dynamics (Yeager et al. 2012; Gulev et al. 2013).”
OMIP contribution to CMIP6: experimental and diagnostic protocol for the physical component of the Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (2016, background): “To provide consistent ocean and sea-ice states useful for initialization of decadal predictions (Taylor et al., 2012; Yeager et al., 2012).”
Predicted slowdown in the rate of Atlantic sea ice loss (2015, methodology): “The upward trend in NADW formation from the mid-1960s to the mid-1990s therefore implies a multidecadal spin-up of the THC, and the neutral-to-weak NADW formation since 1996 suggests that the THC has been weakening since the start of this century.”
Observations, inferences, and mechanisms of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: A review (2016, methodology): “…these reasons we suggest that SST and UOHC may be more useful metrics for predictability studies [e.g., Smith et al., 2007; Pohlmann et al., 2009; Yeager et al., 2012; Branstator et al., 2012; Branstator and Teng, 2012; Kröger et al., 2012; Robson et al., 2012; DelSole et al., 2013; Hu et al.,…”