2020 GLOBAL FOOD OUTLOOK: TRENDS, ALTERNATIVES, AND CHOICES

By M. Rosegrant, Michael S. Paisner, S. Meijer, J. Witcover. 2001

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Participatory Evaluation of Integrated Pest and Soil Fertility Management Options Using Ordered Categorical Data Analysis (2010, background): “It is now the only region in the world where both the number and the proportion of malnourished children has been consistently rising in recent years (Rosegrant et al., 2001).”
The future of food — Scenarios and the effect on natural resource use in agriculture in 2050 (2014, background): “…welfare levels (e.g. Alexandratos et al., 2006; Gerbens-Leenes and Nonhebel, 2005; Grigg, 1995; Keyzer et al., 2005; Lotze-Campen et al., 2006; Rosegrant et al., 2001b; Smil, 2001; Vinnari and Tapio, 2009), with increased demand for animal products in developing countries, will increase…”
Micronutrient-efficient genotypes for crop yield and nutritional quality in sustainable agriculture. A review (2011, background): “It has been estimated that to supply enough food for the world population in 2020, annual cereal production needs to increase by 40%, from 1773 billion tons in 1993 to nearly 2500 billion tons in 2020 (Rosegrant et al., 1999, 2001).”
The yield gap of global grain production: A spatial analysis (2010, background): “It is highly unlikely that this increasing demand will be satisfied by area 9 expansion because productive land is scarce and also increasingly demanded by non-10 agricultural uses (Rosegrant et al., 2001; DeFries et al., 2004).”