World population stabilization unlikely this century

By Patrick Gerland, Adrian E. Raftery, H. Ševčíková, Nan Li, Dana Gu, T. Spoorenberg, L. Alkema, B. Fosdick, J. Chunn, N. Lalic and 4 more. Science, 2014

1,274 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Demography, General Health Professions, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/404ba690a78c861eacb37967d24ad4429a79b418

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Citations in the corpus

Conservation status and threats for African reptiles (2016, background): “global average, and the human population in Africa, already standing at more than a billion, is projected to quadruple over this century (African Economic Outlook, 2014; Gerland et al., 2014).”
Transforming Consumption: From Decoupling, to Behavior Change, to System Changes for Sustainable Consumption (2015, neutral): “6 billion in 2050, to 11 billion by 2100 (46).”
Automated cropland mapping of continental Africa using Google Earth Engine cloud computing (2017, background): “Demography of Africa is projected to change exponentially, where the population is expected to increase from the current 1.2 billion to nearly 4 billion by the end of the century (Gerland et al., 2014).”
Nominal 30-m Cropland Extent Map of Continental Africa by Integrating Pixel-Based and Object-Based Algorithms Using Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 Data on Google Earth Engine (2017, background): “2 billion to over 4 billion by the end of the Century [59].”
Soil Degradation, Land Scarcity and Food Security: Reviewing a Complex Challenge (2016, background): “[33], the human fertility rate may not slow down as expected, especially for Africa, where culturally families still wish to have a high number of children (4.”
Lights, camera, action: high-throughput plant phenotyping is ready for a close-up. (2015, background): “Conclusions and future prospects Considerable effort and attention has been placed on predicting the strain that changing environmental conditions and population growth will have on food supplies [45–47].”
Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways (2016, background): “Poor economic performance [2] combined with sustained population growth [3],”
Determinants of global CO2 emissions growth (2016, positive): “Gerland et al. (2014) project that the world population will continue to rise within this century, with a 95% chance that it will grow from 6.1 billion in 2000 to 9.0-13.2 billion by the year 2100.”
The 21st century population-energy-climate nexus (2016, methodology): “To estimate the future trajectory of world average per capita energy consumption, we used the relationship of population growth (Gerland et al., 2014) and energy consumption (BP, 2015) over the period 2000–2014.”