Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections

By Stefan Rahmstorf, Anny Cazenave, J. Church, J. Hansen, R. Keeling, D. Parker, R. Somerville. Science, 2007

715 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Global and Planetary Change, Oceanography

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/3d2a3d9d52a5e207c752325cca65939d7457023a

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Citations in the corpus

Assessing dangerous climate change through an update of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) “reasons for concern” (2009, background): “The observed temperature change, reflecting the response to date of the climate system to historical emissions, is also at the top of the projected range of temperature increase (7).”
Long-term climate-associated dynamics of a tropical seagrass meadow: implications for the future (2011, background): “Global climate is now undergoing a period of sustained warming (Hansen et al. 2006, IPCC 2007, Rahmstorf et al. 2007) that is predicted to continue at a rapid rate for at least the next 100 yr, resulting in temperature increases between 0.6 and 6.4°C (IPCC 2001, 2007).”
Earth's energy imbalance and implications (2011, background): “Human-made CO 2 emissions are increasing just above the range of IPCC scenarios (Rahmstorf et al., 2007), but the CO 2 increase appearing in the atmosphere, the “airborne fraction” of emissions, has continued to average only about 55 percent (Supplement, Hansen et al., 2008), despite concerns that…”
Assessing the ‘deep reef refugia’ hypothesis: focus on Caribbean reefs (2010, background): “…‘extreme depth-generalists’, as their distribution extends into the lower mesophotic zone ([60 m); however, the majority of species does not occur deeper than the upper mesophotic zone (30–60 m) (Reed 1985; Rezak et al. 1990; Phillips et al. 1990; Jarrett et al. 2005; Culter et al. 2006).”
What motivates coastal households to adapt pro-actively to sea-level rise and increasing flood risk? (2013, methodology): “Protection Motivation Theory applied to climate adaptation The PMT was originally developed to explore components of fear appeals in communication and their relationship to changes in attitudes (Rogers 1975).”
CliMond: global high‐resolution historical and future scenario climate surfaces for bioclimatic modelling (2012, background): “Since then, Rahmstorf et al. (2007) showed that projections from GCMs had underestimated recent global temperature and sea level trends.”
Interim monitoring of cost dynamics for publicly supported energy technologies (2009, background): “In many ways, this challenge is similar to debates about indicators of climate change ( Rahmstorf et al., 2007; Pielke, 2008).”
Contemporary climate change alters the pace and drivers of extinction (2011, background): “Increasing rates of site-level pika losses are consistent with surprising climatic anomalies during the last decade across the region and at larger scales (Appendix S4; IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change], 2007; Rahmstorf et al., 2007).”
A potential tool to mitigate the impacts of climate change to the caribbean leatherback sea turtle (2012, background): “Sea levels may rise by up to 3.4 mm per year (Rahmstorf et al., 2007), although with substantial variation by location, encroaching on coastal shores and reducing total littoral habitat, if hard coastal structures (such as buildings and coastal fortifications) cannot be retreated (Fish et al.,…”
The economic impact of substantial sea-level rise (2010, background): “Others argue that this remains an important issue for scientific analysis based on simple models (Rahmstorf 2007), observations (Rahmstorf et al. 2007) and palaeo-analogues (Rohling et al.”
Optimizing resiliency of reserve networks to climate change: multispecies conservation planning in the Pacific Northwest, USA (2010, result): “Recent observed trends in emissions resemble or exceed those of the A2 IPCC storyline, which represents a future with more rapid economic growth and rapidly rising emissions than are seen in the B1 storyline (Rahmstorf et al., 2007).”
Global sea level linked to global temperature (2009, neutral): “[1]”
Transformational adaptation: agriculture and climate change (2012, background): “As the projected degree and pace of climate change accelerates (Rahmstorf et al. 2007; New et al. 2011) alongside the exacerbation of other biophysical-based limits such as less land, water, fossil fuels, phosphorus and biodiversity and rising demand for agricultural products, the likely need for…”