Understanding Broadscale Wildfire Risks in a Human-Dominated Landscape
By J. Prestemon, J. Pye, D. Butry, T. Holmes, D. Mercer. Forestry sciences, 2002
126 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Broadscale statistical evaluations of wildfire incidence can answer policy-relevant questions about the effectiveness of microlevel vegetation management and can identify subjects needing further study. A dynamic time series cross-sectional model was used to evaluate the statistical links between forest wildfire and vegetation management, human land use, and climatic factors in Florida counties. Four forest wildfire risk functions were estimated: one for fires regardless of ignition source, and three others for fires of specific ignition sources: arson, lightning, and accident (unintentional anthropogenic). Results suggest that current wildfire risk is negatively related to several years of past wildfire and very recent site prep burning, and risk is positively related to pulpwood removals. The effect of traditional prescribed burning on wildfire risk varies by ignition source. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies were also significantly linked to forest wildfire risk, but a measure of the wildland-urban interface was not significant. Although these county-level results hold promise for aggregate risk assessment, modeling at finer spatial and temporal scales might further enhance our understanding of how land managers can best reduce the longer term risk of catastrophic wildfire damages. For. Sci. 48(4):685–693.
Subfields: Ecology, Global and Planetary Change, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/35c03d92662058922d5e1fff555b5fdbeab72d8e
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In Ecology
In Global and Planetary Change
- Volker C. Radeloff
- Alexandra D. Syphard
- J. E. Keeley
- Roger B. Hammer
- Juli G. Pausas
- W. Bond
- F. S. Gilliam
In Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Citations in the corpus
- Human influence on California fire regimes. (2007, background): “Key words: California, USA; fire; fire history; housing density; nonlinear effects; regression; wildland– urban interface.”
- Informing Climate Adaptation: A Review of the Economic Costs of Natural Disasters, Their Determinants, and Risk Reduction Options (2012, unknown): “Raschky (2008) finds just the opposite relationship: initial levels of development can reduce losses, but at higher wealth levels, economic damages increase.”