Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming?

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Tools for integrating range change, extinction risk and climate change information into conservation management (2013, methodology): “…is a long-lived plant distributed across a wide range in eastern Australia, with a slow generational response to climate-induced habitat change (Fordham et al. 2012b), and the latter is a more geographically constrained lagomorph in Britain with a relatively stable range (Anderson et al. 2009).”
Traits to stay, traits to move: a review of functional traits to assess sensitivity and adaptive capacity of temperate and boreal trees to climate change (2016, background): “2011) and habitat-niche models that modify trait-based demographic processes (Midgley et al. 2010; Fordham et al. 2012; Talluto et al. 2016).”
Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions (2013, background): “…often with very general, research-oriented objectives in mind, such as answering macro-ecological questions, predicting range shifts under climate change (Keith et al. 2008; Carvalho et al. 2011; Fordham et al. 2012) or assessing the potential spread of invasive species (Thuiller et al. 2005).”