Information Aggregation Mechanisms: Concept, Design and Implementation for a Sales Forecasting Problem

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Combinatorial Information Market Design (2003, unknown): “When compared to ofﬁcial Hewlett-Packard forecasts of printer sales, internal corporate markets were more accurate 6 out of 8 times, even though the ofﬁcial fore-casts where made after the markets closed and with knowledge of the market prices (Chen and Plott, 1998).”
Prediction Markets: Does Money Matter? (2004, background): “In a series of experiments, researchers at Hewlett-Packard enrolled some of the company's employees as prediction traders, and found that their forecasts of product sales systematically outperform the official ones (Chen and Plott 2002).”