The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence

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Oil Rents, Corruption, and State Stability: Evidence from Panel Data Regressions (2011, background): “…prices significantly reduce the risk of civil conflict in Columbia, positive oil price shocks significantly increase it.3 (continued…) 3 See also Besley and Persson (2008) who document that both increases in mineral as well as agricultural commodity prices significantly increase the incidence…”
On the Origins of the State: Stationary Bandits and Taxation in Eastern Congo (2020, result): “The model is similar to Besley and Persson (2013), although it ignores dynamics.”
State Capacity, Conflict and Development (2009, unknown): “In Besley and Persson (2008c), we also obtain an ordering result of this form (under weaker assumptions) in a related model where the choice of armies is continuous and institutions constrain the behavior of the incumbent and opposition ex post.”