Causal inferences with group based trajectory models

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Assessing the Impact of First-Time Imprisonment on Offenders’ Subsequent Criminal Career Development: A Matched Samples Comparison (2009, methodology): “As others have pointed out (Heckman et al. 1998; Haviland and Nagin 2005 ), one key element in the success of matching strategies in averting bias is data quality and completeness.”
DOES MARRIAGE REDUCE CRIME? A COUNTERFACTUAL APPROACH TO WITHIN‐INDIVIDUAL CAUSAL EFFECTS* (2006, methodology): “Haviland and Nagin (2005) have integrated the Rosenbaum and Rubin approach with a group-based modeling of trajectories (Nagin, 1999, 2005) to estimate the impact of a first-time treatment (gang membership) on later violence.”
Misunderstandings between experimentalists and observationalists about causal inference (2008, methodology): “…otherwise high quality work in economics (Smith and Todd, 2005), political science (Imai, 2005), sociology (Lundquist and Smith, 2005), psychology (Haviland and Nagin, 2005), education (Crosnoe, 2005), management science (Villalonga, 2004), medicine (Mangano et al., 2006), public health (Novak et…”
Taking Stock of Developmental Trajectories of Criminal Activity over the Life Course (2008, background): “In short, extensions of the trajectory methodology can be used to make causal inferences about the impact of turning points and interventions on developmental trajectories (Haviland & Nagin, 2005; Wang et al., 2005).”