How the Electoral College Influences Campaigns and Policy: The Probability of Being Florida

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The Impact of Competition on Management Quality: Evidence from Public Hospitals (2015, unknown): “This variation is perhaps unsurprising as there is also huge variability in productivity in many other areas of the private and public sector (e.g. Foster, Haltiwanger and Syverson, 2008 and Syverson, 2011).”
Competing on Good Politicians (2009, background): “Stromberg (2008) analyzes how U.S. presidential candidates allocate resources across states to maximize their probability of winning the election, and shows that this allocation is affected by the number of electoral votes and forecast uncertainty.”
Tying Your Enemy's Hands in Close Races: The Politics of Federal Transfers in Brazil (2012, background): “We identify the impact of “political alignment” between the local mayor and the Brazilian president on the amount of federal transfers allocated to each municipality by comparing places where the candidate aligned with the president barely won with places where the candidate aligned with the preside”
State Capacity and Economic Development: A Network Approach (2015, unknown): “For example, municipalities with many swing voters might get a lot of weight because they are important places to gather votes, as in Stromberg (2008).”