Robert L. Winkler

Economics and Econometrics · 1968–2020

A researcher in the Science corpus: 12 papers; trusts 4 researchers and is trusted by 26 researchers here, as inferred from the citation graph.

Subfields

• Economics and Econometrics — 221 citations into it; #6,357 of 23,481 by trust here, #14,051 by citations
• Management Science and Operations Research — 195 citations into it; #1,585 of 11,946 by trust here, #2,472 by citations
• Time-Series & Forecasting — 29 citations into it; #89 of 381 by trust here, #22 by citations
• Evaluation & Benchmarks — 15 citations into it; #1,252 of 3,147 by trust here, #872 by citations

Whom Robert L. Winkler trusts overall

Their strongest outbound trust, strongest first, inferred from their citations.

1. Spyros Makridakis
2. James H. Stock
3. Clive W. J. Granger
4. M. Hibon
5. Mark W. Watson

Who trusts Robert L. Winkler overall

1. Tilmann Gneiting
2. Roopesh Ranjan
3. Anton V. Proskurnikov
4. Christian Kascha
5. W. Ehm
6. Denis Allard
7. Xiaoqian Wang
8. Prem Melville
9. Fotios Petropoulos
10. Francesco Ravazzolo

Papers from Robert L. Winkler's perspective

Ordered by how strongly the researchers Robert L. Winkler trusts endorse each paper. Same corpus, a different order for every researcher.

1. Bagging Predictors
2. The Generalized Factor Model: Identification and Estimation
3. Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?
4. Estimating the Dimension of a Model
5. Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability
6. Shocks and Frictions in Us Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach (Social Science Research Network)
7. Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography
8. A. W. H. Phillips: Collected Works in Contemporary Perspective: The relation between unemployment and the rate of change of money wage rates in the United Kingdom, 1861-1957
9. Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models
10. Causality : Models , Reasoning , and Inference

Their papers

• The Optimizer's Curse: Skepticism and Postdecision Surprise in Decision Analysis (2006) — 328 citations
• Simple robust averages of forecasts: Some empirical results (2008) — 241 citations
• Advances in Decision Analysis: Aggregating Probability Distributions (2007) — 87 citations
• Forecasting: theory and practice (2020) — 551 citations
• Why do some combinations perform better than others? (2020) — 56 citations
• Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather (1996)
• Sampling Distributions of Post-sample Forecasting Errors (1989)
• Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results (1983)
• The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)
• Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature (1977)
• Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions (1976)
• The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions (1968)