The Impact of Macroeconomic Announcements on Emerging Market Bonds

By Jochen R. Andritzky, Geoffrey J. Bannister, Natalia T. Tamirisa. Social Science Research Network, 2005

136 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Abstract This paper examines how emerging market bonds react to macroeconomic announcements. Global bond spreads respond to rating actions and changes in U.S. interest rates rather than domestic data and policy announcements. All announcements affect market volatility. Macroeconomic data and policy announcements reduce uncertainty and stabilize spreads, while rating actions cause greater volatility. Results are robust to country-specific and panel analyses, assuming conditional variance and controlling for the surprise content of news. In subsamples, announcements matter less for countries with more transparent policies and higher credit ratings. In a crisis, rating actions become less important, and investors focus on simple and timely indicators.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Finance

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/f52978186f634399b4d03617913d395dee96e3f4

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In Economics and Econometrics

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