Predicting land-cover and land-use change in the urban fringe A case in Morelia city, Mexico
By E. López, G. Bocco, M. Mendoza, E. Duhau. 2001
640 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Land-cover and land-use (LCLU) change was quantified for the last 35 years within and in the vicinity of a fast growing city in Mexico, using rectified aerial photographs and geographic information systems (GIS). LCLU change was projected for the next 20 years using Markov chains and regression analyses. The study explored the relationships between urban growth and landscape change, and between urban growth and population growth. The analysis of Markov matrices suggests that the highest LCLU attractor is the city of Morelia, followed by plantations and croplands. Grasslands and shrublands are the least stable categories. The most powerful use of the Markov transition matrices seems to be at the descriptive rather than the predictive level. Linear regression between urban and population growth offered a more robust prediction of urban growth in Morelia. Hence, we suggest that linear regression should be used when projecting growth tendencies of cities in regions with similar characteristics.
Subfields: Ecology, Environmental Engineering, Global and Planetary Change
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/f2a9396dfd774b0fe006d4a8ac3e089d639b61d6
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Ecology
In Environmental Engineering
In Global and Planetary Change
Citations in the corpus
- Exploring Complexity in a Human–Environment System: An Agent-Based Spatial Model for Multidisciplinary and Multiscale Integration (2005, methodology): “These methods include multi-variate spatial models (e.g., Seto and Kaufmann 2003), Markov chain analysis (e.g., Brown, Pijanowski, and Duh 2000; Lo´pez et al. 2001), and cellular automata (e.g., Batty, Xie, and Sun 1994; Li and Yeh 2002; Malanson 2002).”
- Relationship between the presence of House Sparrows (Passer domesticus) and Neotropical bird community structure and diversity (2009, background): “Cropfields in which House Sparrows were recorded were located at a maximum distance of 609 m from any human settlement, and up to 14 km from Morelia city.”
- Multiple effects of urbanization on the biodiversity of developing countries: the case of a fast-growing metropolitan area (Concepción, Chile). (2006, background): “Water is usually related to geomorphic elements highly suitable for human settlement such as floodplains and depositional valleys, making these hydrological systems highly prone to urbanization (Malmqvist and Rundle, 2002; Charlesworth et al., 2003).”