Do Eurozone Countries Cheat with Their Budget Deficit Forecasts

By Tilman Brück, Andreas Stephan. 2006

141 citations recorded by the source corpus.

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/efc3e41e83ed7987bf99c29de4832af17b151676

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Economics and Econometrics

Citations in the corpus

A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile (2011, background): “In the case of fiscal policy, the importance of institutions is emphasized by Buchanan (1967), von Hagen and Harden (1995), Alesina and Perotti (1995, 1996), Poterba (1997), Poterba and von Hagen (1999), Persson and Tabellini (2004), Wyplosz (2005), Calderón and Schmidt-Hebbel (2008), and Calderón, ”
The political economy of EDP fiscal forecasts: An empirical assessment (2011, background): “…and Economics), Rua Miguel Lupi 20, 1249-078 Lisbon, Portugal c Universidade Lusíada, Rua da Junqueira 188–198, 1349–001 Lisbon, Portugal d CITIS (Research Centre on Tourism, Innovation and Services), Rua da Junqueira 188-198, 1349-001 Lisbon, Portugal a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t”
Fi S cal F oreca S ting le SS on S F rom the literature an D challenge S 1 (2007, unknown): “…Campbell and Ghysels (1995), Artis and Marcellino (1998, 2001), Keereman (1999), Melander et al. (2007), Pons (2000), Strauch et al. (2004), and Bruck and Stephan (2006) detect the presence of biases in the track record of fiscal forecasts of various governmental and international agencies, in…”
Over-Optimism in Forecasts by Official Budget Agencies and its Implications (2011, unknown): “…meeting the ﬁscal criteria of the 1992 Maastricht Treaty, while the others were trying to get in, and are now there and thus subject to the SGP. 5 Bru¨ck and Stephan (2006) explicitly conclude that eurozone governments have manipulated deﬁcit forecasts before elections since the introduction of…”