Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity
By M. Andrijevic, J. Crespo Cuaresma, Raya Muttarak, C. Schleussner. Nature Sustainability, 2019
158 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Weak governance is one of the key obstacles for sustainable development. Undoubtedly, improvement of governance comes with a broad range of co-benefits, including countries’ abilities to respond to pressing global challenges such as climate change. However, beyond the qualitative acknowledgement of its importance, quantifications of future pathways of governance are still lacking. This study provides projections of future governance in line with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. We find that under a ‘rocky road’ scenario, 30% of the global population would still live in countries characterized by weak governance in 2050, while under a ‘green road’ scenario, weak governance would be almost entirely overcome over the same time frame. On the basis of pathways for governance, we estimate the adaptive capacity of countries to climate change. Limits to adaptive capacity exist even under optimistic pathways beyond mid-century. Our findings underscore the importance of accounting for governance in assessments of climate change impacts. Governance is one of the critical components for sustainability, but quantification within scenarios and projections of future socioeconomic development has been lacking. This analysis of various pathways looks at how best to overcome ‘weak’ governance and strengthen adaptive capacity.
Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/edc68c4ff47f085f843ad8fce6f59c1a1c3ed3bf
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Citations in the corpus
- Global food self-sufficiency in the 21st century under sustainable intensification of agriculture (2020, background): “Future societies’ resilience against global challenges such as climate change hinges on successful implementation of policies, actions and development strategies (Andrijevic et al 2019).”