Any Inspection is Manipulable

By Ehud Lehrer. 2001

70 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Management Science and Operations Research, Statistics and Probability

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/ec44192d92465650f797320b1bf6d7431293458c

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In Management Science and Operations Research

In Statistics and Probability

Citations in the corpus

Non-Bayesian Testing of a Stochastic Prediction (2006, methodology): “…of calibration tests, including dependencies on histories or conditioning on future properties of the realized sequence as well as randomized tests; see Kalai, Lehrer and Smorodinsky (1999), Fudenberg and Levine (1999), Lehrer (2001), Sandroni, Smorodinsky and Vohra (2003) and Sandroni (2003).”
Repeated Games with Incomplete Information (2009, background): “…Cesa-Bianchi et al. (2006); Foster and Vohra (1999); Hart (2005); Lehrer (2003b); Rustichini (1999) and the book CesaBianchi and Lugosi (2006), but also with convergence of simple procedures to the set of correlated equilibria (Hart and Mas-Colell 2000) and calibration (Foster 1999; Lehrer 2001).”
Manipulability of Future‐Independent Tests (2008, background): “Then the test requires that the empirical frequencies of 1 be close to p in the periods that follow a forecast of 1 that was close to p. Alternatively, these subsequences could also be, as in Lehrer (2001), periods in which a certain outcome was observed.”
Calibrated Incentive Contracts (2013, unknown): “…the emphasis on general stochastic processes, connect the paper to the literature on testing experts (see for instance Foster and Vohra (1998), Fudenberg and Levine (1999), Lehrer (2001) or more recently Al-Najjar and Weinstein (2008), Feinberg and Stewart (2008) and Olszewski and Sandroni (2008)).”
Combining probability forecasts (2010, background): “It differs from the game theoretic approach to calibration that has been developed in a far-reaching related strand of literature (Dawid, 1982; Foster and Vohra, 1998; Lehrer, 2001; Sandroni et al., 2003; Vovk and Shafer, 2005).”
Testing Multiple Forecasters (2008, methodology): “As shown by Lehrer (2001), this false expert has a strategy allowing him to manipulate the test.”
Good randomized sequential probability forecasting is always possible (2005, background): “E-mail: gshafer@rutgers.edu Vohra (1998), Fudenberg and Levine (1999), Lehrer (2001) and Sandroni et al. (2003).”
Prediction, learning, and games (2006, background): “5 has been strengthened by Lehrer [194], Sandroni, Smorodinsky, and Vohra [259], and Vovk and Shafer [301].”