Long-term model-based projections of energy use and CO2 emissions from the global steel and cement industries

By Bas J. van Ruijven, D. V. van Vuuren, Willem Boskaljon, M. Neelis, D. Saygin, Martin Kumar Patel. 2016

269 citations recorded by the source corpus.

This paper presents a global simulation-model for the steel and cement industries. The model covers the full modelling chain from economic activity, to materials consumption, trade, technology choice, production capacity, energy use and CO2 emissions. Without climate policy, the future projections based on the SSP2 scenario show a rapid increase in the consumption of steel and cement over the next few decades, after which demand levels are projected to stabilize. This implies that over the scenario period, CO2 emissions are projected to peak in the next decades followed by a decrease below 2010 levels in 2050. There is considerable scope to mitigate CO2 emissions from steel and cement industries, leading to resp. 80–90% and 40–80% reduction below 2010 in 2050 for a high carbon tax of 100 $/tCO2 + 4%pa depending on the availability of Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS).

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Environmental Engineering, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/e30e7ea96045087e6ef5a821a63207f3db9e0b1d

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Economics and Econometrics

In Environmental Engineering

In Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

Citations in the corpus

Material and energy flows of the iron and steel industry: Status quo, challenges and perspectives (2020, methodology): “Specific energy consumption (SEC) is always used to assess the energy efficiency of the iron and steel production processes [120], but Morfeldt and Silveira [121] found that it is not sufficient.”
China’s energy revolution strategy into 2030 (2018, background): “…clean power transition (He et al., 2017), city level emissions (Chen et al., 2017a,b), energy extensive industries such as steel and cement (van Ruijven et al., 2016), construction sector (Li et al., 2017), urban rail transit (Li et al., 2016) and other sectors, emission trading system (Zhang…”
Net-zero emissions energy systems (2018, background): “4 billion tons in 2050 (43, 44), continuing historical patterns of infrastructure accumulation andmaterials use seen in regions such as China, India, and Africa (4).”