The IPCC Emission Scenarios: An Economic-Statistical Critique

By I. Castles, David Henderson. 2003

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Modeling Energy and Development: an Evaluation of Models and Concepts (2008, methodology): “In the SRES, economic activity was mainly ex- pressed in MER terms and this has been extensively debated in long-term scenario literature (Castles & Henderson, 2003; Grübler et al., 2004; Nordhaus, 2007; van Vuuren & Alfsen, 2006).”
Decomposition of CO2 emissions over 1980-2003 in Turkey (2006, background): “Grossman and Krueger (1991) were about the first to decompose the change in emissions into a scale, composition and technique effect in explaining the environmental impacts of the North American free trade agreement.”
On International Equity Weights and National Decision Making on Climate Change (2010, background): “That is, emissions grow less fast in the PPP scenario, but faster than a naïve adjustment with the economic growth rate would suggest (cf. Castles and Henderson, 2003).”
Downscaling and geo-spatial gridding of socio-economic projections from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) (2004, background): “…the Democratic People’s republic of (North) Korea, Malaysia, Singapore and Hong Kong among Asian countries; and South Africa, Libya, Algeria, Tunisia, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Turkey and Argentina among the ‘Africa, Latin America and the Middle East’ group of countries (Castles and Henderson, 2003a).”