End-of-conflict deforestation: Evidence from Colombia’s peace agreement
By M. Prem, S. Saavedra, Juan F. Vargas. World Development, 2020
113 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Armed conflict can endanger natural resources through several channels such as direct predation from fighting groups, but it may also help preserve ecosystems by dissuading extractive economic activities through the fear of extortion. The effect of conflict on deforestation is thus an empirical question. This paper studies the effect on forest cover of Colombia’s recent peace negotiation between the government and the FARC insurgency. Using yearly deforestation data from satellite images and a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we show that areas controlled by FARC prior to the declaration of a permanent ceasefire experienced a differential increase in deforestation after the start of the ceasefire. The deforestation effect of peace is attenuated in municipalities with higher state presence and judicial capacity, and is exacerbated by land intensive economic activities. Our results highlight the importance of complementing peacemaking milestones with state building efforts to avoid environmental damage.
Subfields: Demography, Global and Planetary Change, Soil Science
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/ded055dfbae0b360a64f155ab8c6ccad35664bf7
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In Global and Planetary Change
In Soil Science
Citations in the corpus
- Towards Causal Inference for Spatio-Temporal Data: Conflict and Forest Loss in Colombia (2020, background): “We have applied our methodology to the problem of conflict and forest loss in Colombia.”