A global coal production forecast with multi-Hubbert cycle analysis

By T. Patzek, G. Croft. 2010

199 citations recorded by the source corpus.

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

Lithium availability and future production outlooks (2013, background): “As a practical application for a solid resource, the use of logistic curves and their relatives has been shown to agree with observed coal production patterns and proved useful for forecasting [32, 33, 88].”
Depletion of fossil fuels and anthropogenic climate change—A review (2013, background): “Four other scenarios had more constrained coal production profiles, somewhat more compatible with published peak coal projections (Mohr and Evans, 2009; Höök et al., 2010b; Patzek and Croft, 2010; Rutledge, 2011).”
The future of coal supply in China based on non-fossil energy development and carbon price strategies (2021, background): “However, some studies forecasting Ch ina’s coal production peak arrive before 2020, which is similar to our study[26, 27].”
Estimating long-term world coal production with logit and probit transforms (2011, background): “For other comparisons, Steve Mohr's Hubbert linearization based on individual countries gave 702 Gt (Mohr, 2010), and Tadeusz Patzek and Gregory Croft's global multi-cycle Hubbert analysis gave 630 Gt (Patzek and Croft, 2010).”
EROI of different fuels and the implications for society (2014, unknown): “Much of the discussion about “ peak coal ” (e.g. Patzek and Croft, 2010) involves changing mining technology and capacity, rather than the quantity and quality of coal that remains available for extraction.”