Does Financial News Predict Stock Returns? New Evidence from Islamic and Non-Islamic Stocks

By Paresh Kumar Narayan, D. Bannigidadmath. 2017

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The paper extends the time-series financial news data set constructed by Garcia (2013) and uses it to examine whether financial news predicts returns of Islamic stocks differently compared to non-Islamic (conventional) stocks. We find that they do. First, while both positive and negative worded news predict most Islamic and conventional stock returns, positive words have a larger impact on both types of stock returns. Second, shock to returns from financial news reverses only in part for some stocks. Third, for a mean-variance investor, investing in Islamic stocks is relatively more profitable than investing in the corresponding conventional stocks. Fourth, we show that profits are robust to a range of time-series risk factors, namely, market risk, size-based risk, and momentum-induced risk.

Subfields: Accounting, Finance, Management Science and Operations Research

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/da836ad81d60d86d23f0b229b42fcebb6bc8ac31