Demographic change, tourism expenditure and life cycle behaviour

By C. Bernini, Maria Francesca Cracolici. 2015

162 citations recorded by the source corpus.

The paper explores how demographic changes in human populations may impact on tourism decision-making of households over their life cycle. By means of hurdle models, the study focuses respectively on the decision to travel domestically or abroad and investigates if statistically significant differences exist as to the impact of age and cohort on the decision to travel and tourism expenditure. Using a vast dataset on Italian Household Expenditures over the period 1997–2007 the empirical results show that demographic aspects do have a strong effect on the tourism behaviour of families and that cohort and age effects act differently on the decision of households to make a trip and on how much they spend on tourism. Age has a negative effect on the desire to travel but a positive effect on tourism expenditure. On the other hand, older cohorts are inclined to travel but they have a low propensity to spend on tourism. Relevant differences in income elasticity along the life cycle of households have also been found. Finally, age and cohort aspects have a different effect on the decision as to whether to travel nationally or internationally.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Marketing, Sociology and Political Science

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/d82cb1e030d73490b2109b7853301ea8fe762795

Citations in the corpus

• Micro-economic determinants of tourist expenditure: a quantile regression approach. (2015, unknown): “…Lee et al., 2015), logistic transition regression models (Wang, 2014), dynamic multinomial logit models (Grigolon et al., 2014), hurdle models (Bernini and Cracolici, 2015), dynamic panel models (Capacci et al., 2015) and panel system generalized method of moments models (De Vita, 2014).…”