Are Voters Rational? Evidence from Gubernatorial Elections

By Justin Wolfers. 2002

295 citations recorded by the source corpus.

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/d7872e70c0f5a967951c14b45a476f5b21a3c678

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Citations in the corpus

Mecro-Economic Voting: Local Information and Micro-Perceptions of the Macro-Economy (2014, unknown): “This manuscript is unique as it uses both aggregate and individual data to test a novel theory; this difference is facilitated by the fact that our theory makes predictions in aggregate data that go beyond the standard prediction that better aggregate economic performance leads to better incumbent…”
The Politics of the Resource Curse: A Review (2020, unknown): “According to Wright et al. (2014), increases in oil wealth help autocratic regimes ward off other autocratic challengers.”
Learning About Voter Rationality (2018, unknown): “…2011; Chen 2013; Cole, Healy, and Werker 2012; Gasper and Reeves 2011; Healy and Malhotra 2010; Healy, Malhotra, and Mo 2010; Huber, Hill, and Lenz 2012) or economic shocks originating outside of the local economy (Ebeid and Rodden 2006; Kayser and Peress 2012; Leigh 2009; Wolfers 2002).”
Electoral Cycles in Savings Bank Lending (2017, background): “For these reasons, the effective time-span covered by the main econometric specification presented in section 5 covers the years between 1993 and 2009, whereas time spans of deviating length are analyzed for robustness in section 7.3.”
Employment, Wages, and Voter Turnout (2013, unknown): “A paper by Wolfers (2002) in the economic voting literature also uses oil price shocks.”
Does the World Economy Swing National Elections (2009, unknown): “8 This is the opposite finding to that of Wolfers (2007), who looks at the effect of unemployment, house prices and real income on US gubernatorial elections, and finds that there is a higher return to competence (State − National) than to luck (National).”
Ghost-House Busters: The Electoral Response to a Large Anti Tax Evasion Program (2016, unknown): “They can provide theoretical support for the empirical findings that voters’ electoral choices respond to economic conditions (Wolfers (2009)), natural disasters (Cole, Healy, and Werker (2012)), and quasi-random targeted transfers (Manacorda, Miguel, and Vigorito (2011)).”
Disentangling Accountability and Competence in Elections: Evidence from U.S. Term Limits (2011, background): “…elections and job approval ratings suggest that voters value and respond to growth (Lowry, Alt, and Ferree 1998) and, in particular, that voters evaluate their governors based on their state’s economic performance relative to the performance of the national economy (see, for example, Wolfers 2002).”
The Cost of Political Connections (2018, unknown): “Prior work has shown that employment conditions are of great importance to voters when deciding whether to re-elect an incumbent politician (see, e.g., Wolfers, 2002).”