The semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem

By Peter J. Bickel, B. Kleijn. 2010

132 citations recorded by the source corpus.

In a smooth semiparametric estimation problem, the marginal posterior for the parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically normal and satisfy frequentist criteria of optimality if the model is endowed with a suitable prior. It is shown that, under certain straightforward and interpretable conditions, the assertion of Le Cam’s acclaimed, but strictly parametric, Bernstein-von Mises theorem [Univ. California Publ. Statist. 1 (1953) 277-329] holds in the semiparametric situation as well. As a consequence, Bayesian point-estimators achieve efficiency, for example, in the sense of Hajek’s convolution theorem [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 14 (1970) 323-330]. The model is required to satisfy differentiability and metric entropy conditions, while the nuisance prior must assign nonzero mass to certain Kullback-Leibler neighborhoods [Ghosal, Ghosh and van der Vaart Ann. Statist. 28 (2000) 500-531]. In addition, the marginal posterior is required to converge at parametric rate, which appears to be the most stringent condition in examples. The results are applied to estimation of the linear coefficient in partial linear regression, with a Gaussian prior on a smoothness class for the nuisance.

Subfields: Artificial Intelligence, Statistics and Probability

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In Artificial Intelligence

  1. Kolyan Ray
  2. Richard Nickl
  3. I. Castillo
  4. Vladimir Spokoiny
  5. Judith Rousseau
  6. Maxim Panov
  7. Maarten Marsman
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In Statistics and Probability

  1. Kolyan Ray
  2. Richard Nickl
  3. Judith Rousseau
  4. I. Castillo
  5. Vladimir Spokoiny
  6. Maxim Panov
  7. Maarten Marsman
  8. Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

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