'Two Million Net New Jobs': A Reconsideration of the Rise in Employment in South Africa, 1995-2003
By D. Casale, C. Muller, D. Posel. 2005
150 citations recorded by the source corpus.
In this paper we investigate labour market trends in South Africa between October 1995 and March 2003. In particular, we evaluate the South African governments claim that over this period, the economy created two million net new jobs. Using the same household survey data as that used to generate official employment estimates, we also find an almost two million net increase in employment. However, we show that this increase is likely to have been inflated by changes in data capture and definitions of employment over the years, and that the real increase may be considerably less, with a lower bound of approximately 1.4 million jobs. We argue further that the rise in employment over the period must be evaluated in the context of a dramatically larger growth in labour supply and therefore rising rates of unemployment, declining real earnings, and an increase in the number of the working poor, particularly among Africans.
Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Media Technology, Safety Research
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/d547b504e73c732e9d67cfce3cb40f94e07be269
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Citations in the corpus
- Overcoming underdevelopment in South Africa's second economy (2006, background): “( 2004 : 11) show that there has been an increase in the number of the employed living in poverty from just over 900 000 in 1995 to some 2 million in 2003.”
- Formal-informal economy linkages and unemployment in South Africa (2010, unknown): “Indeed, informal employment has accounted for most of the job creation over the last decade (Casale et al., 2004). However, despite this expansion, South Africa has a small informal sector compared to other countries at similar income levels (Maloney, 2004; Schneider, 2002). Supporting this observat”