How Long Until Human-Level AI ? Results from an Expert Assessment

By Philosopher William Hurlbut, Roger Penrose, Stuart R. Hameroff. 2011

Subfields: Philosophy

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Philosophy

1. Seth D. Baum
2. Allan Dafoe

Citations in the corpus

• When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts (2017, background): “The predictions of AI experts provide crucial additional information [10, 11, 12].”
• A Survey of Artificial General Intelligence Projects for Ethics, Risk, and Policy (2017, background): “Shulman (2009), Baum et al. (2011), Yampolskiy and Fox (2013), and Goertzel (2017a) suggest that certain institutional contexts could be more dangerous and that policy responses should be matched to projects’ institutions.”