Prediction : science, decision making, and the future of nature

By D. Sarewitz, R. Pielke, R. Byerly. 2000

158 citations recorded by the source corpus.

How researchers see this paper

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Scenario Planning: a Tool for Conservation in an Uncertain World (2003, background): “Whereas scientists understand that predictions are conditional probabilistic statements, nonscientists often understand them as things that will happen no matter what they do ( Sarewitz et al. 2000; MacCracken 2001).”
A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios (2006, background): “It can encourage analysts and decision makers to downplay uncertainty to make predictions more tractable (Sarewitz et al. 2000).”
Understanding livelihood vulnerability to climate change: Applying the livelihood vulnerability index in Trinidad and Tobago (2013, background): “As noted in the introduction, there are three essential qualities that any vulnerability assessment tool should aim to achieve (Hooke and Pielke, 2000).”