Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
By M. Kraemer, R. Reiner, O. Brady, J. Messina, M. Gilbert, D. Pigott, D. Yi, Kimberly B Johnson, Lucas Earl, L. Marczak and 31 more. Nature Microbiology, 2019
1,057 citations recorded by the source corpus.
The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally. Statistical mapping techniques provide insights into the spread of two key arbovirus vectors in Europe and the United States, and predict the future distributions of both mosquitoes in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change.
Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Social Psychology
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/d2b4bfc2c3257b7853fcee05be90138e662ce4cf
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Citations in the corpus
- The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China (2020, background): “The data do not represent numbers of individual travelers but rather an index of relative movements constructed by Baidu's proprietary methods which are correlated with human mobility (31) (http://qianxi.baidu.com/).”
- The 2023 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: the imperative for a health-centred response in a world facing irreversible harms (2023, positive): “This indicator captures relative vulnerability to severe Aedes - borne disease outcomes, by combining increased susceptibility from urbanisation 205,206 and coping capacity from improved health-care access and quality.”