Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea-ice retreat

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Simulations for CMIP6 With the AWI Climate Model AWI‐CM‐1‐1 (2020, background): “Features such as a strong Arctic amplification along with a weak Antarctic amplification, Arctic wetting (Bintanja & Selten, 2014), subtropical drying, increased frequency of extreme La Niña & El Niño events (Cai et al., 2015), reduced ENSO asymmetry (Ham, 2017), and weakening Atlantic meridional…”
Mathematical Modelling of Arctic Polygonal Tundra with Ecosys: 1. Microtopography Determines How Active Layer Depths Respond to Changes in Temperature and Precipitation (2017, result): “Such increases indicate that projected rises in precipitation during the next century (Bintanja & Selten, 2014) may hasten increases in ALD of polygonal tundra beyond those from accompanying rises in MAT, as was modeled in an earlier study of an arctic landscape (Grant, 2015).”
Mathematical Modelling of Arctic Polygonal Tundra with Ecosys: 2. Microtopography Determines How CO2 and CH4 Exchange Responds to Changes in Temperature and Precipitation (2017, background): “…in precipitation from 2008 to 2015 indicated that greening of polygonal landforms with projected increases in precipitation during the next century (Bintanja & Selten, 2014) may bemost apparent as greater moss density in higher features, particularly in FCPs and HCPs. Annual CH4 emissions modeled…”