Bias and uncertainty in regression-calibrated models of groundwater flow in heterogeneous media

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Efficient nonlinear predictive error variance for highly parameterized models (2006, background): “For example, the bulk of measurement noise may be structural noise induced by model inadequacy and parameter simplifications [Cooley and Christensen, 2006].”
Optimization and uncertainty assessment of strongly nonlinear groundwater models with high parameter dimensionality (2010, background): “For example, the assumption that measurement/structural noise is uncorrelated, or even possesses a known and/or stationary covariance matrix, is almost never met [Cooley, 2004; Cooley and Christensen, 2006; Doherty and Welter, 2010].”