Pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and impact on breast cancer recurrence and survival: a comprehensive meta-analysis

By Laura M. Spring, G. Fell, A. Arfè, C. Sharma, R. Greenup, K. Reynolds, Barbara L. Smith, B. Alexander, B. Moy, S. Isakoff and 3 more. Clinical Cancer Research, 2020

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Purpose: While various studies have highlighted the prognostic significance of pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAT), the impact of additional adjuvant therapy after pCR is not known. Experimental Design: PubMed was searched for studies with NAT for breast cancer and individual patient-level data was extracted for analysis using plot digitizer software. HRs, with 95% probability intervals (PI), measuring the association between pCR and overall survival (OS) or event-free survival (EFS), were estimated using Bayesian piece-wise exponential proportional hazards hierarchical models including pCR as predictor. Results: Overall, 52 of 3,209 publications met inclusion criteria, totaling 27,895 patients. Patients with a pCR after NAT had significantly better EFS (HR = 0.31; 95% PI, 0.24–0.39), particularly for triple-negative (HR = 0.18; 95% PI, 0.10–0.31) and HER2+ (HR = 0.32; 95% PI, 0.21–0.47) disease. Similarly, pCR after NAT was also associated with improved survival (HR = 0.22; 95% PI, 0.15–0.30). The association of pCR with improved EFS was similar among patients who received subsequent adjuvant chemotherapy (HR = 0.36; 95% PI, 0.19–0.67) and those without adjuvant chemotherapy (HR = 0.36; 95% PI, 0.27–0.54), with no significant difference between the two groups (P = 0.60). Conclusions: Achieving pCR following NAT is associated with significantly better EFS and OS, particularly for triple-negative and HER2+ breast cancer. The similar outcomes with or without adjuvant chemotherapy in patients who attain pCR likely reflects tumor biology and systemic clearance of micrometastatic disease, highlighting the potential of escalation/deescalation strategies in the adjuvant setting based on neoadjuvant response. See related commentary by Esserman, p. 2771

Subfields: Cancer Research, Pathology and Forensic Medicine, Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/cf6e4b9f11c9cc4d10c730f851c984fd3d0f3183

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In Cancer Research

  1. Lisa A. Carey

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