Monsoon prediction : Why yet another failure?

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Probabilistic prediction of hydroclimatic variables with nonparametric quantification of uncertainty (2008, background): “Thus, the traditional approaches to capture the variation of ISMR, even at seasonal timescale, are not successful [Gadgil et al., 2005].”
On the bias correction of general circulation model output for Indian summer monsoon (2013, background): “E-mail: surajit 2008@yahoo.co.in 1999), means that these models also failed to generate a correct forecast, especially in extreme years (Gadgil et al., 2005).”