Detecting early-warning signals for sudden deterioration of complex diseases by dynamical network biomarkers

By Luonan Chen, Rui Liu, Zhiping Liu, Meiyi Li, Kazuyuki Aihara. Scientific Reports, 2012

607 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Considerable evidence suggests that during the progression of complex diseases, the deteriorations are not necessarily smooth but are abrupt and may cause a critical transition from one state to another at a tipping point. Here, we develop a model-free method to detect early-warning signals of such critical transitions, even with only a small number of samples. Specifically, we theoretically derive an index based on a dynamical network biomarker (DNB) that serves as a general early-warning signal indicating an imminent bifurcation or sudden deterioration before the critical transition occurs. Based on theoretical analyses, we show that predicting a sudden transition from small samples is achievable provided that there are a large number of measurements for each sample, e.g., high-throughput data. We employ microarray data of three diseases to demonstrate the effectiveness of our method. The relevance of DNBs with the diseases was also validated by related experimental data and functional analysis.

Subfields: Experimental and Cognitive Psychology, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/c7f7d4ddb946d2553241ea19a85f34ef1808403f

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In Experimental and Cognitive Psychology

  1. Matjaz Perc
  2. Filippo Radicchi
  3. H. Eugene Stanley
  4. Hernán A. Makse
  5. Jianxi Gao
  6. Manlio De Domenico
  7. Mark Newman
  8. Attila Szolnoki

In Global and Planetary Change

  1. Daqing Li
  2. Boleslaw K. Szymanski
  3. Xueming Liu
  4. H. Eugene Stanley
  5. Jianxi Gao
  6. Manqing Ma
  7. Matjaz Perc

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