Node harvest: simple and interpretable regression and classication

By Nicolai Meinshausen. 2009

64 citations recorded by the source corpus.

When choosing a suitable technique for regression and classication with multivariate pre- to analyze than single trees and are often criticized, perhaps unfairly, as 'black box' predictors. Node harvest is trying to reconcile the two aims of interpretability and predictive accuracy by combining positive aspects of trees and tree ensembles. Results are very sparse and interpretable and predictive accuracy is extremely competitive, especially for low signal-to-noise data. The procedure is very simple: an initial set of a few thousand nodes is generated randomly. If a new observation falls into just a single node, its prediction is the mean response of all training observation within this node, identical to a tree-like prediction. However, a new observation falls typically into several nodes and its prediction is then the weighted average of the mean responses across all these nodes. The only role of node harvest is to 'pick' the right nodes from the initial large ensemble of nodes by choosing node weights, which amounts in the proposed algorithm to a quadratic programming problem with linear inequality constraints. The solution is sparse in the sense that only very few nodes are selected with a non-zero weight. This sparsity is not explicitly enforced. Maybe surprisingly, it is not necessary to select a tuning parameter for optimal predictive accuracy. Node harvest can handle mixed data and missing values well and is shown to be simple to interpret and competitive in predictive accuracy on a variety of datasets, with special attention given to an application in climate modelling.

Subfields: Artificial Intelligence, Statistics and Probability, Safety, Robustness & Interpretability

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In Artificial Intelligence

  1. Cynthia Rudin
  2. Berk Ustun
  3. Emilio Carrizosa
  4. Dolores Romero Morales
  5. Cristina Molero-Río
  6. Marco F. Huber
  7. Nadia Burkart
  8. Ş. Ertekin

In Statistics and Probability

  1. Cynthia Rudin
  2. Nadia Burkart
  3. Marco F. Huber
  4. Berk Ustun
  5. Ş. Ertekin
  6. Dolores Romero Morales
  7. Emilio Carrizosa
  8. Cristina Molero-Río

In Safety, Robustness & Interpretability

  1. Marco F. Huber
  2. Nadia Burkart
  3. Cynthia Rudin
  4. Berk Ustun
  5. Dolores Romero Morales
  6. Emilio Carrizosa
  7. Ş. Ertekin
  8. Cristina Molero-Río

Citations in the corpus