Geopolitical risk, uncertainty and Bitcoin investment

By A. Mamun, Gazi Salah Uddin, Muhammad Tahir Suleman, Sang Hoon Kang. 2020

156 citations recorded by the source corpus.

We investigate the impact of geopolitical risk, global and US economic policy uncertainty on the structure of Bitcoin correlation with various financial and commodities asset classes. We further investigate the impact of the aforementioned factors on the volatility and risk premium of Bitcoin investment. We find that both geopolitical risk and global economic policy uncertainty command a risk premium, particularly in distress market conditions. Moreover, during the period of high policy uncertainty and worsening economic conditions, Bitcoin investors can only hedge their portfolio with gold, not with other financial assets. Our results highlight that the effect of geopolitical risk, global and US economic policy uncertainty is far more significant during unfavorable economic conditions.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Finance, Information Systems

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/c4ba63c6eb968cfc43b04370f4e70569efb80c28