Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests

By J. Abatzoglou, A. P. Williams. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2016

2,629 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecology, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/c3d78a01c5b8c64244ae1eedff963c52b66ffa69

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Citations in the corpus

Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk (2018, background): “Furthermore, both the annual area burned (8, 21, 22) and fire suppression costs (23) have rapidly increased in the United States.”
Climate-driven risks to the climate mitigation potential of forests (2020, background): “4), and much of this shift can be directly attributed to climate change (101).”
Extreme Weather and Climate Change: Population Health and Health System Implications (2021, background): “BMC Psychiatry 19(1):18 [PubMed: 30630501]”
Spatial patterns of ponderosa pine regeneration in high-severity burn patches (2017, neutral): “However, it is unclear if regeneration on our study sites will emulate historical spatial patterns because drier conditions, increased wild ﬁ re activity and widespread conifer loss are forecasted to increase in the coming decades (McDowell et al., 2016; Abatzoglou and Williams, 2016).”
Influences of fire–vegetation feedbacks and post‐fire recovery rates on forest landscape vulnerability to altered fire regimes (2018, background): “↑ λ1 Hotter summer temperatures and increased vapour pressure deficit lead to reduced soil and fuel moisture and larger or more severe fire Abatzoglou and Williams (2016)”
Disturbance refugia within mosaics of forest fire, drought, and insect outbreaks (2020, background): “Drought enhances wildfire activity (Abatzoglou and Williams 2016), increases fire- induced tree mortality (van Mantgem et al. 2013), increases vulnerability to insects (Raffa et al. 2008), and reduces post- disturbance tree seedling establishment (Stevens- Rumann et al. 2018).”
The unintended impacts of agricultural fires: Human capital in China (2019, background): “Moreover, the impacts almost certainly extend beyond agricultural fires to include forest and other forms of wildfires, which are expected to intensify in the coming decades under climate change (Malevsky-Malevich et al., 2008; Abatzoglou and Williams, 2016).”
An Economist’s Guide to Climate Change Science (2018, positive): “In regions with more vegetation, amplifying oscillations between heavy rainfall and drought is projected to increase the frequency of wildfires (Abatzoglou and Williams 2016) because vegetative fuel grows rapidly during wet periods then becomes flammable during dry periods.”
Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States (2017, background): “Observations suggest that climate change has extended the duration of the fire weather season across most of the globe, including parts of the United States by a couple of weeks over the past three decades (5, 9), whereas we show that human ignitions in the United States increased the length of the ”
Climate change is increasing the likelihood of extreme autumn wildfire conditions across California (2020, methodology): “FWI closely tracks interannual variability of other commonly used fire danger metrics such as Energy Release Component (ERC) [37], and exhibits strong empirical links to individual high-intensity fire events (e.g. [48]) and interannual variability in burned area for much of the globe (e.g. [52]).”
Grasslands may be more reliable carbon sinks than forests in California (2018, result): “LPJ-GUESS simulates wildfire as a function of fuel load and litter moisture, which, over regional to large scale studies, is consistent with observations (Abatzoglou and Williams 2016).”