Unemployment in an Estimated New Keynesian Model

By Jordi Galí, Frank Smets, Raf Wouters. NBER macroeconomics annual, 2012

416 citations recorded by the source corpus.

We reformulate the Smets-Wouters (2007) framework by embedding the theory of unemployment proposed in Gali (2011a,b). We estimate the resulting model using postwar U.S. data, while treating the unemployment rate as an additional observable variable. Our approach overcomes the lack of identification of wage markup and labor supply shocks highlighted by Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2008) in their criticism of New Keynesian models, and allows us to estimate a "correct" measure of the output gap. In addition, the estimated model can be used to analyze the sources of unemployment fluctuations.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/c349e79b56ea5a43d88a6a02a069517008aae21d

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