Is model parameter error related to a significant spring predictability barrier for El Niño events? Results from a theoretical model

57 citations recorded by the source corpus.

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

Improved ensemble-mean forecasting of ENSO events by a zero-mean stochastic error model of an intermediate coupled model (2016, background): “Recently, an increasing number of studies have indicated that the ability to forecast ENSO is also influenced by the model errors (e.g., Zavala-Garay et al. 2004; Williams 2005; Zheng et al. 2009b; Duan and Zhang 2010; Yu et al. 2012; Feng et al. 2015).”
Does Model Parameter Error Cause a Significant “Spring Predictability Barrier” for El Niño Events in the Zebiak–Cane Model? (2012, background): “Furthermore, it enables investigations of the relative effects of initial errors and model parameter errors on prediction uncertainties and of the dominant source of the uncertainties that have a large influence on predictability (Duan and Zhang 2010).”